Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2021-11-27 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

COL: 58.9%

NSH: 41.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.49

NSH: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

COL

J. Johansson

NSH

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	J. Johansson	28	26	2	92.9%	2.13	1	0.13
NSH	D. Rittich	35	29	6	82.9%	2.45	0	-3.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • COL at home vs NSH: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	17	0	0.98
1	NSH	7	0	0.54
2	COL	15	0	0.67
2	NSH	14	1	0.93
3	COL	14	0	0.80
3	NSH	18	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7