Vancouver Canucks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2021-11-28 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

BOS: 52.5%

VAN: 47.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.15

VAN: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

BOS

L. Ullmark

VAN

J. Halak

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	38	36	2	94.7%	2.13	1	0.13
VAN	J. Halak	42	39	3	92.9%	2.53	1	-0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs VAN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	VAN 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-12-20	BOS 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	BOS
2024-12-14	VAN 1 - 5 BOS	BOS	VAN
2024-11-26	BOS 0 - 2 VAN	VAN	BOS
2024-02-24	VAN 3 - 2 BOS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	15	0	0.59
1	VAN	12	1	0.87
2	BOS	17	1	0.85
2	VAN	21	0	0.71
3	BOS	20	0	1.09
3	VAN	12	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0