Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2021-11-28 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 5 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 58.8%
PHI: 41.2%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.68
PHI: 3.15
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
M. Blackwood
PHI
M. Jones
| Stat | NJD | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | M. Blackwood | 25 | 23 | 2 | 92.0% | 2.36 | 1 | 0.36 |
| PHI | M. Jones | 35 | 30 | 5 | 85.7% | 4.13 | 3 | -0.87 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs PHI: 5-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | NJD 1 - 5 PHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-11-29 | NJD 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | NJD |
| 2025-11-22 | PHI 6 - 3 NJD | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-03-09 | PHI 1 - 3 NJD | NJD | PHI |
| 2025-01-29 | NJD 5 - 0 PHI | NJD | NJD |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJD | 12 | 1 | 0.50 |
| 1 | PHI | 14 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 2 | NJD | 20 | 1 | 2.19 |
| 2 | PHI | 15 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 3 | NJD | 16 | 1 | 1.44 |
| 3 | PHI | 15 | 1 | 1.13 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 5 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.7 - 3.1
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