San Jose Sharks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2021-11-28 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 0 - 2 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 53.5%

SJS: 46.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.41

SJS: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

CHI

M. Fleury

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	22	20	2	90.9%	2.24	2	0.24
SJS	J. Reimer	29	29	0	100.0%	3.05	0	3.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs SJS: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	CHI 5 - 2 SJS	CHI	SJS
2026-04-06	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2026-02-02	CHI 6 - 3 SJS	CHI	SJS
2025-03-13	SJS 4 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2024-10-31	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	13	0	1.23
1	SJS	5	0	0.31
2	CHI	14	0	0.99
2	SJS	20	1	1.14
3	CHI	17	0	0.83
3	SJS	6	1	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 0 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8