Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-11-30 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

FLA: 59.9%

WSH: 40.1%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.24

WSH: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

WSH

I. Samsonov

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	27	23	4	85.2%	2.82	0	-1.18
WSH	I. Samsonov	51	46	5	90.2%	4.65	1	-0.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • FLA at home vs WSH: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	WSH 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	WSH
2025-12-29	FLA 5 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-11-13	FLA 6 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-03-22	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH
2025-02-04	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	20	0	1.16
1	WSH	16	0	1.27
2	FLA	13	1	0.97
2	WSH	17	0	1.35
3	FLA	34	0	2.52
3	WSH	2	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0