Seattle Kraken at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2021-12-01 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 38.6%

SEA: 61.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.85

SEA: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

DET

T. Greiss

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	T. Greiss	26	22	4	84.6%	3.20	2	-0.80
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	28	23	5	82.1%	3.88	2	-1.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • DET at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	SEA 3 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-11-18	DET 4 - 2 SEA	DET	DET
2025-02-04	SEA 4 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-01-12	DET 6 - 2 SEA	DET	DET
2024-02-19	SEA 3 - 4 DET	DET	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	9	0	0.48
1	SEA	12	1	0.86
2	DET	14	0	0.86
2	SEA	12	0	0.64
3	DET	8	0	0.50
3	SEA	10	0	0.58
4	DET	1	0	0.03
4	SEA	1	0	0.05
5	DET	4	2	2.01
5	SEA	4	1	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3