Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-12-02 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 55.1%

CGY: 44.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.96

CGY: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 49%

LAK

C. Petersen

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	C. Petersen	32	29	3	90.6%	3.49	3	0.49
CGY	J. Markstrom	42	40	2	95.2%	3.17	1	1.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • LAK at home vs CGY: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	CGY
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	18	1	1.03
1	CGY	18	1	1.29
2	LAK	18	0	0.99
2	CGY	19	2	1.49
3	LAK	23	0	1.15
3	CGY	10	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1