New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2021-12-03 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 8 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

WPG: 63.0%

NJD: 37.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.31

NJD: 3.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NJD

J. Bernier

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	37	33	4	89.2%	2.98	1	-1.02
NJD	J. Bernier	40	32	8	80.0%	3.08	2	-4.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • WPG at home vs NJD: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	NJD 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	NJD
2026-01-11	WPG 4 - 3 NJD	WPG	NJD
2025-03-28	WPG 4 - 0 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-07	NJD 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	NJD
2024-03-21	NJD 4 - 1 WPG	NJD	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	17	0	0.89
1	NJD	15	1	0.85
2	WPG	23	1	1.19
2	NJD	19	0	1.42
3	WPG	11	1	1.01
3	NJD	15	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 8 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 3.6