Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-12-03 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

SEA: 64.7%

EDM: 35.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.88

EDM: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	32	29	3	90.6%	2.62	0	-0.38
EDM	Stuart Skinner	34	30	4	88.2%	2.26	1	-1.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • SEA at home vs EDM: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	EDM
2025-03-27	SEA 6 - 1 EDM	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	14	0	0.46
1	EDM	16	0	1.21
2	SEA	17	0	0.81
2	EDM	8	0	0.34
3	SEA	14	1	0.99
3	EDM	21	0	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.9 - 3.2