Columbus Blue Jackets at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2021-12-04 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

WSH: 57.2%

CBJ: 42.8%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.48

CBJ: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

WSH

I. Samsonov

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	I. Samsonov	18	17	1	94.4%	1.06	0	0.06
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	32	29	3	90.6%	2.97	1	-0.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • WSH at home vs CBJ: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CBJ 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-12-07	WSH 2 - 0 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-11-24	WSH 5 - 1 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-10-24	CBJ 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-13	WSH 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	14	0	0.88
1	CBJ	13	0	0.39
2	WSH	15	0	0.94
2	CBJ	8	0	0.35
3	WSH	10	1	1.15
3	CBJ	9	0	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9