Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2021-12-05 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

EDM: 43.8%

LAK: 56.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.93

LAK: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

EDM

M. Koskinen

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Koskinen	40	35	5	87.5%	3.33	2	-1.67
LAK	J. Quick	22	21	1	95.5%	3.07	4	2.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • EDM at home vs LAK: 14-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	9	2	1.11
1	LAK	16	1	1.44
2	EDM	16	2	1.53
2	LAK	15	0	0.48
3	EDM	6	0	0.44
3	LAK	21	1	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9