New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2021-12-07 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 6 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 58.8%

NYR: 41.2%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.15

NYR: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

CHI

M. Fleury

NYR

A. Georgiev

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	30	24	6	80.0%	2.87	1	-3.13
NYR	A. Georgiev	26	24	2	92.3%	2.22	0	0.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs NYR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	NYR 6 - 1 CHI	NYR	NYR
2025-12-10	CHI 3 - 0 NYR	CHI	NYR
2025-01-05	CHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	CHI
2024-12-09	NYR 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	CHI
2024-02-09	CHI 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	0	0.67
1	NYR	14	0	0.99
2	CHI	11	0	0.75
2	NYR	14	0	1.05
3	CHI	14	0	0.80
3	NYR	8	1	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 6 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0