Florida Panthers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2021-12-07 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 3 Florida Panthers (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 42.8%

FLA: 57.2%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.92

FLA: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 50%

STL

V. Husso

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	V. Husso	40	37	3	92.5%	4.23	1	1.23
FLA	Spencer Knight	30	26	4	86.7%	2.08	0	-1.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • STL at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	STL 5 - 4 FLA	STL	STL
2025-12-20	FLA 2 - 6 STL	STL	FLA
2025-02-06	STL 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-20	FLA 2 - 1 STL	FLA	FLA
2024-01-09	STL 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	6	0	0.14
1	FLA	21	1	2.20
2	STL	21	0	1.49
2	FLA	12	0	0.78
3	STL	12	0	0.43
3	FLA	18	0	1.25
4	STL	1	0	0.03
4	FLA	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3