Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2021-12-08 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

NJD: 54.3%

PHI: 45.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.23

PHI: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

NJD

M. Blackwood

PHI

C. Hart

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	25	25	0	100.0%	1.52	0	1.52
PHI	C. Hart	27	24	3	88.9%	3.54	2	0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs PHI: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	NJD 1 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-11-29	NJD 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	NJD
2025-11-22	PHI 6 - 3 NJD	PHI	PHI
2025-03-09	PHI 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	PHI
2025-01-29	NJD 5 - 0 PHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	18	0	0.97
1	PHI	10	0	0.20
2	NJD	15	0	0.87
2	PHI	11	0	0.53
3	NJD	10	2	1.70
3	PHI	13	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1