Boston Bruins at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2021-12-08 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 Boston Bruins (SO)

Win Probability

VAN: 57.5%

BOS: 42.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.99

BOS: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	37	36	1	97.3%	3.61	3	2.61
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	35	32	3	91.4%	4.24	2	1.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	VAN 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-12-20	BOS 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	BOS
2024-12-14	VAN 1 - 5 BOS	BOS	VAN
2024-11-26	BOS 0 - 2 VAN	VAN	BOS
2024-02-24	VAN 3 - 2 BOS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	14	0	0.31
1	BOS	12	1	0.96
2	VAN	16	0	1.15
2	BOS	13	1	0.77
3	VAN	17	0	0.60
3	BOS	19	1	1.48
4	VAN	4	0	0.26
4	BOS	3	0	0.26
5	VAN	3	2	1.91
5	BOS	2	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0