Anaheim Ducks at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2021-12-09 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

Win Probability

CBJ: 45.1%

ANA: 54.9%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.91

ANA: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 48%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	29	26	3	89.7%	3.83	2	0.83
ANA	John Gibson	36	34	2	94.4%	3.92	1	1.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs ANA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	ANA 4 - 3 CBJ	ANA	ANA
2025-12-16	CBJ 4 - 3 ANA	CBJ	CBJ
2024-12-14	CBJ 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	CBJ
2024-11-10	ANA 4 - 2 CBJ	ANA	CBJ
2024-02-21	ANA 4 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	0	0.98
1	ANA	13	0	0.91
2	CBJ	19	0	1.04
2	ANA	10	0	0.77
3	CBJ	13	0	0.64
3	ANA	10	0	0.64
4	CBJ	3	0	0.22
4	ANA	1	0	0.03
5	CBJ	3	1	1.04
5	ANA	3	2	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2