Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2021-12-09 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 6 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

STL: 52.6%

DET: 47.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.44

DET: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

STL

C. Lindgren

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	C. Lindgren	31	29	2	93.5%	2.25	0	0.25
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	26	20	6	76.9%	3.73	2	-2.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs DET: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	STL 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-10-25	DET 6 - 4 STL	DET	DET
2025-04-01	STL 2 - 1 DET	STL	STL
2024-12-23	DET 0 - 4 STL	STL	DET
2024-02-24	DET 6 - 1 STL	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	12	0	1.24
1	DET	12	0	0.56
2	STL	16	1	1.50
2	DET	13	0	0.92
3	STL	10	1	0.99
3	DET	14	0	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 6 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1