Carolina Hurricanes at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2021-12-09 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

Win Probability

CGY: 48.5%

CAR: 51.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.87

CAR: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 53%

CGY

J. Markstrom

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	26	24	2	92.3%	1.89	0	-0.11
CAR	Frederik Andersen	27	26	1	96.3%	3.04	1	2.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • CGY at home vs CAR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	CGY 5 - 4 CAR	CGY	CGY
2025-11-30	CAR 1 - 0 CGY	CAR	CAR
2025-03-02	CAR 2 - 1 CGY	CAR	CAR
2024-10-24	CGY 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-03-10	CAR 7 - 2 CGY	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	15	1	1.48
1	CAR	11	0	0.64
2	CGY	10	0	0.54
2	CAR	9	0	0.43
3	CGY	13	0	0.95
3	CAR	10	0	0.51
4	CGY	2	0	0.07
4	CAR	4	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2