Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2021-12-09 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

SJS: 47.1%

MIN: 52.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.76

MIN: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

SJS

A. Hill

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	A. Hill	27	22	5	81.5%	3.88	2	-1.12
MIN	C. Talbot	35	33	2	94.3%	2.87	0	0.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs MIN: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	SJS
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-01-11	SJS 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	0	0.77
1	MIN	16	0	0.74
2	SJS	10	0	0.56
2	MIN	14	0	0.82
3	SJS	23	0	1.54
3	MIN	10	2	2.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.8 - 2.9