New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2021-12-11 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

NYI: 58.9%

NJD: 41.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.29

NJD: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

NJD

A. Schmid

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	32	30	2	93.8%	2.75	2	0.75
NJD	A. Schmid	29	25	4	86.2%	5.06	5	1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs NJD: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	13	1	0.94
1	NJD	14	1	0.73
2	NYI	12	0	0.78
2	NJD	11	1	1.28
3	NYI	18	4	3.34
3	NJD	16	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0