Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2021-12-11 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

PIT: 54.4%

ANA: 45.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.54

ANA: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

PIT

C. DeSmith

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	C. DeSmith	33	33	0	100.0%	2.98	0	2.98
ANA	John Gibson	29	28	1	96.6%	1.90	0	0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • PIT at home vs ANA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	PIT 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	PIT
2025-10-14	ANA 4 - 3 PIT	ANA	ANA
2025-01-23	ANA 5 - 1 PIT	ANA	PIT
2024-10-31	PIT 2 - 1 ANA	PIT	PIT
2023-11-07	ANA 0 - 2 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	PIT	10	0.79
1	ANA	11	0.87
2	PIT	13	0.51
2	ANA	15	1.08
3	PIT	17	0.60
3	ANA	20	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9