Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2021-12-12 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 56.8%

ANA: 43.2%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.18

ANA: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

STL

J. Gillies

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	J. Gillies	39	36	3	92.3%	2.90	1	-0.10
ANA	A. Stolarz	25	23	2	92.0%	2.48	0	0.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • STL at home vs ANA: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	ANA 2 - 6 STL	STL	ANA
2026-03-08	ANA 0 - 4 STL	STL	ANA
2025-12-01	STL 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	STL
2025-03-16	STL 7 - 2 ANA	STL	STL
2025-03-07	ANA 3 - 4 STL	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	0	0.71
1	ANA	14	0	0.98
2	STL	13	0	1.16
2	ANA	13	0	0.60
3	STL	7	0	0.47
3	ANA	17	1	1.06
4	STL	2	0	0.14
4	ANA	4	0	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0