Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-04-18 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

CHI: 41.3%

CGY: 58.7%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.65

CGY: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

CHI

K. Lankinen

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	K. Lankinen	35	30	5	85.7%	3.39	2	-1.61
CGY	J. Markstrom	24	22	2	91.7%	1.76	1	-0.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs CGY: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CHI 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-11-18	CHI 5 - 2 CGY	CHI	CGY
2025-11-07	CGY 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	CGY
2025-01-13	CHI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2024-12-21	CGY 6 - 4 CHI	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.56
1	CGY	14	0	0.88
2	CHI	8	1	0.48
2	CGY	17	0	0.90
3	CHI	12	0	0.71
3	CGY	10	2	1.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.6 - 3.2