Columbus Blue Jackets at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2021-12-14 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

VAN: 53.1%

CBJ: 46.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.62

CBJ: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 54%

VAN

J. Halak

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	J. Halak	23	20	3	87.0%	2.63	2	-0.37
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	39	35	4	89.7%	2.94	0	-1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • VAN at home vs CBJ: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CBJ 4 - 1 VAN	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-08	VAN 4 - 3 CBJ	VAN	VAN
2025-03-28	CBJ 7 - 6 VAN	CBJ	VAN
2024-12-06	VAN 5 - 2 CBJ	VAN	VAN
2024-01-27	VAN 5 - 4 CBJ	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	0	0.34
1	CBJ	17	1	1.13
2	VAN	23	0	0.94
2	CBJ	7	0	0.44
3	VAN	21	0	1.66
3	CBJ	12	1	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.6 - 3.2