Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2021-12-14 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

SJS: 39.9%

SEA: 60.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.60

SEA: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

SJS

J. Reimer

SEA

C. Driedger

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	30	27	3	90.0%	2.60	1	-0.40
SEA	C. Driedger	34	33	1	97.1%	2.40	2	1.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SJS at home vs SEA: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	11	0	0.41
1	SEA	12	0	0.50
2	SJS	14	2	0.98
2	SEA	10	0	0.35
3	SJS	16	0	1.01
3	SEA	13	1	1.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.6 - 3.5