Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2021-12-16 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 43.9%

COL: 56.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.01

COL: 4.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 45%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

COL

P. Francouz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	26	24	2	92.3%	2.39	1	0.39
COL	P. Francouz	35	30	5	85.7%	2.99	1	-2.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • NSH at home vs COL: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	12	0	0.50
1	COL	17	0	1.04
2	NSH	22	0	1.42
2	COL	5	0	0.40
3	NSH	12	1	1.07
3	COL	16	1	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 4.3