Columbus Blue Jackets at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2021-12-16 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

EDM: 52.3%

CBJ: 47.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.29

CBJ: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	38	36	2	94.7%	3.18	1	1.18
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	45	40	5	88.9%	5.38	6	0.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs CBJ: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	CBJ 5 - 4 EDM	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-10	EDM 5 - 4 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-12-05	EDM 6 - 3 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-10-28	CBJ 6 - 1 EDM	CBJ	EDM
2024-03-07	CBJ 4 - 2 EDM	CBJ	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	18	2	1.29
1	CBJ	12	0	0.83
2	EDM	18	3	1.62
2	CBJ	19	1	1.77
3	EDM	21	1	2.47
3	CBJ	17	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1