Los Angeles Kings at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2021-12-18 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

CAR: 53.1%

LAK: 46.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.91

LAK: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	33	32	1	97.0%	3.41	2	2.41
LAK	J. Quick	33	28	5	84.8%	3.41	2	-1.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CAR at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-01	CAR 3 - 2 LAK	CAR	CAR
2025-10-18	LAK 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-22	LAK 7 - 2 CAR	LAK	LAK
2025-02-01	CAR 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	CAR
2024-01-15	CAR 2 - 5 LAK	LAK	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	1	1.34
1	LAK	15	0	1.09
2	CAR	15	1	1.04
2	LAK	15	0	0.93
3	CAR	17	0	1.03
3	LAK	16	2	1.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2