Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-02-18 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 6 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

MIN: 43.2%

FLA: 56.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.22

FLA: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

MIN

C. Talbot

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	36	30	6	83.3%	3.85	3	-2.15
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	26	24	2	92.3%	1.86	0	-0.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs FLA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	FLA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	FLA
2026-01-24	MIN 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-18	MIN 1 - 6 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-10-22	FLA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-01-19	FLA 4 - 6 MIN	MIN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	0.66
1	FLA	11	0	0.33
2	MIN	15	0	0.75
2	FLA	15	0	1.01
3	MIN	5	0	0.45
3	FLA	19	3	2.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 6 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.5