Nashville Predators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-02-18 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

CAR: 56.6%

NSH: 43.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.24

NSH: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	31	28	3	90.3%	2.76	1	-0.24
NSH	Juuse Saros	30	25	5	83.3%	4.20	4	-0.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs NSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	NSH 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-06	CAR 6 - 3 NSH	CAR	CAR
2025-03-25	CAR 1 - 3 NSH	NSH	CAR
2024-12-23	NSH 5 - 2 CAR	NSH	NSH
2023-12-27	NSH 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	11	2	1.39
1	NSH	14	0	0.96
2	CAR	15	0	0.76
2	NSH	8	0	0.48
3	CAR	12	2	2.05
3	NSH	20	1	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0