Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-02-17 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 7 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

EDM: 74.1%

ANA: 25.9%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.97

ANA: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 55%

EDM

M. Smith

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Smith	30	27	3	90.0%	2.68	2	-0.32
ANA	John Gibson	41	34	7	82.9%	3.74	3	-3.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • EDM at home vs ANA: 10-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	EDM
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	19	1	1.36
1	ANA	11	0	0.74
2	EDM	16	0	0.94
2	ANA	7	1	0.74
3	EDM	12	2	1.43
3	ANA	20	1	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 7 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.0 - 2.8