Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-02-16 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 6 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

CGY: 56.3%

ANA: 43.7%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.63

ANA: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

CGY

J. Markstrom

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	28	26	2	92.9%	2.89	2	0.89
ANA	John Gibson	43	37	6	86.0%	5.05	4	-0.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • CGY at home vs ANA: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	ANA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2026-03-26	CGY 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-03-01	ANA 3 - 2 CGY	ANA	ANA
2026-01-25	CGY 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-09	ANA 4 - 3 CGY	ANA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	14	1	1.11
1	ANA	18	2	1.76
2	CGY	14	1	1.20
2	ANA	7	0	0.45
3	CGY	26	2	2.74
3	ANA	9	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 6 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 2.6 - 2.9