Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2022-02-08 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 43.5%

CAR: 56.5%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.77

CAR: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 56%

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Anton Forsberg	45	42	3	93.3%	2.97	1	-0.03
CAR	A. Raanta	31	27	4	87.1%	2.57	0	-1.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • OTT at home vs CAR: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-25	OTT 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-23	OTT 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-20	CAR 3 - 2 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-18	CAR 2 - 0 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-05	OTT 6 - 3 CAR	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	18	0	1.44
1	CAR	15	0	1.06
2	OTT	14	0	0.67
2	CAR	21	0	0.96
3	OTT	8	0	0.47
3	CAR	21	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3