Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-02-20 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 7 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

CBJ: 66.1%

BUF: 33.9%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.61

BUF: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

CBJ

J. Berube

BUF

C. Anderson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Berube	36	33	3	91.7%	2.72	0	-0.28
BUF	C. Anderson	39	32	7	82.1%	3.97	2	-3.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs BUF: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	BUF 5 - 0 CBJ	BUF	CBJ
2026-01-03	CBJ 5 - 1 BUF	CBJ	BUF
2025-10-28	BUF 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-10	CBJ 3 - 2 BUF	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-04	BUF 3 - 2 CBJ	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	24	1	1.40
1	BUF	13	0	0.70
2	CBJ	16	0	1.07
2	BUF	12	0	0.81
3	CBJ	12	1	1.50
3	BUF	22	0	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 7 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.6 - 3.2