Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-02-19 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

CGY: 69.4%

SEA: 30.6%

Expected Goals

CGY: 4.23

SEA: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

CGY

J. Markstrom

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	23	22	1	95.7%	1.67	0	0.67
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	37	35	2	94.6%	2.67	1	0.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CGY at home vs SEA: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	CGY
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	SEA
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	15	1	1.06
1	SEA	9	0	0.47
2	CGY	20	0	0.99
2	SEA	11	0	0.53
3	CGY	10	0	0.62
3	SEA	11	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 4.2 - 2.8