Los Angeles Kings at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-02-19 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

ARI: 49.6%

LAK: 50.4%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.06

LAK: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 52%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	39	34	5	87.2%	3.01	0	-1.99
LAK	C. Petersen	23	20	3	87.0%	2.15	1	-0.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • ARI at home vs LAK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-11-20	ARI 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-10-27	ARI 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-10-24	LAK 6 - 3 ARI	LAK	LAK
2023-02-18	LAK 6 - 5 ARI	LAK	ARI
2022-12-23	ARI 2 - 1 LAK	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	7	0	0.27
1	LAK	14	0	0.87
2	ARI	15	1	1.13
2	LAK	21	0	0.79
3	ARI	11	0	0.74
3	LAK	17	0	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9