Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2021-12-28 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 50.6%
VGK: 49.4%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.18
VGK: 3.28
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
J. Quick
VGK
L. Brossoit
| Stat | LAK | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | J. Quick | 27 | 21 | 6 | 77.8% | 3.74 | 3 | -2.26 |
| VGK | L. Brossoit | 27 | 24 | 3 | 88.9% | 2.66 | 1 | -0.34 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • LAK at home vs VGK: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | LAK 4 - 6 VGK | VGK | LAK |
| 2026-02-05 | VGK 4 - 1 LAK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-14 | LAK 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | LAK |
| 2025-10-08 | VGK 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | VGK |
| 2025-03-09 | VGK 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | VGK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 8 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 1 | VGK | 18 | 2 | 1.63 |
| 2 | LAK | 18 | 1 | 1.41 |
| 2 | VGK | 14 | 0 | 1.47 |
| 3 | LAK | 14 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 3 | VGK | 7 | 1 | 0.63 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.2 - 3.3
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