New York Rangers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-12-29 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 New York Rangers

Win Probability

FLA: 72.5%

NYR: 27.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 4.52

NYR: 2.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	33	30	3	90.9%	3.18	1	0.18
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	32	28	4	87.5%	5.01	5	1.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • FLA at home vs NYR: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	19	0	1.82
1	NYR	18	0	1.45
2	FLA	10	1	0.98
2	NYR	10	0	0.72
3	FLA	16	4	2.21
3	NYR	12	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 4.5 - 2.4