Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2021-12-29 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

STL: 52.7%

EDM: 47.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.27

EDM: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

EDM

M. Smith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	28	26	2	92.9%	2.20	0	0.20
EDM	M. Smith	33	29	4	87.9%	3.35	0	-0.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs EDM: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	STL
2026-01-18	EDM 5 - 0 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-11-03	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2025-04-09	EDM 4 - 3 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-02-04	STL 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	STL	20	1.40
1	EDM	14	0.77
2	STL	13	0.70
2	EDM	13	0.70
3	STL	13	1.25
3	EDM	12	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1