Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-02-14 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 52.2%

CHI: 47.8%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.09

CHI: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 48%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CHI

M. Fleury

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	24	21	3	87.5%	3.01	2	0.01
CHI	M. Fleury	32	31	1	96.9%	3.24	4	2.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • WPG at home vs CHI: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	CHI 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2026-03-03	WPG 3 - 2 CHI	WPG	WPG
2026-01-19	CHI 2 - 0 WPG	CHI	WPG
2025-10-30	WPG 6 - 3 CHI	WPG	WPG
2025-04-12	CHI 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	1	0.83
1	CHI	9	0	0.32
2	WPG	15	1	0.76
2	CHI	15	0	1.04
3	WPG	18	2	1.65
3	CHI	10	2	1.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1