Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-12-29 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

Win Probability

ANA: 49.8%

VAN: 50.2%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.74

VAN: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	37	35	2	94.6%	3.80	0	1.80
VAN	Thatcher Demko	23	22	1	95.7%	2.78	1	1.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • ANA at home vs VAN: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	ANA 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-03-24	VAN 3 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-29	VAN 2 - 0 ANA	VAN	ANA
2025-11-26	ANA 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	ANA
2025-04-05	VAN 6 - 2 ANA	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	15	0	0.93
1	VAN	12	0	0.62
2	ANA	16	0	1.09
2	VAN	19	0	1.29
3	ANA	15	1	0.76
3	VAN	19	0	1.75
4	ANA	0	0	0.00
4	VAN	1	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.7 - 3.0