Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2021-12-30 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

CAR: 65.6%

MTL: 34.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.91

MTL: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

CAR

A. Raanta

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	26	26	0	100.0%	1.92	2	1.92
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	38	34	4	89.5%	2.91	2	-1.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CAR at home vs MTL: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	12	0	0.54
1	MTL	13	2	0.90
2	CAR	21	2	1.74
2	MTL	9	0	0.39
3	CAR	17	0	0.63
3	MTL	11	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.9 - 2.6