Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2021-12-30 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Nashville Predators (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 57.3%
NSH: 42.7%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.04
NSH: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA
NSH
D. Rittich
| Stat | CBJ | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.877 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 4.04 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | Elvis Merzlikins | 38 | 34 | 4 | 89.5% | 4.41 | 2 | 0.41 |
| NSH | D. Rittich | 33 | 28 | 5 | 84.8% | 5.06 | 2 | 0.06 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CBJ at home vs NSH: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | CBJ 3 - 2 NSH | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-09 | NSH 2 - 1 CBJ | NSH | CBJ |
| 2025-04-01 | CBJ 8 - 4 NSH | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-10-26 | NSH 4 - 3 CBJ | NSH | NSH |
| 2024-04-13 | NSH 6 - 4 CBJ | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 9 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 1 | NSH | 16 | 0 | 1.07 |
| 2 | CBJ | 11 | 0 | 0.84 |
| 2 | NSH | 19 | 1 | 1.42 |
| 3 | CBJ | 16 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 3 | NSH | 8 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 4 | CBJ | 9 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 4 | NSH | 1 | 0 | 0.11 |
| 5 | CBJ | 5 | 2 | 2.03 |
| 5 | NSH | 5 | 1 | 1.20 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
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