Philadelphia Flyers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2021-12-30 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

Win Probability

SJS: 59.1%

PHI: 40.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.08

PHI: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

SJS

J. Reimer

PHI

F. Sandstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	25	23	2	92.0%	2.39	1	0.39
PHI	F. Sandstrom	46	43	3	93.5%	4.35	1	1.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	SJS 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	SJS
2025-12-09	PHI 4 - 1 SJS	PHI	PHI
2024-12-31	SJS 0 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI
2024-11-11	PHI 4 - 3 SJS	PHI	PHI
2024-03-12	PHI 3 - 2 SJS	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	21	0	1.66
1	PHI	11	1	1.17
2	SJS	20	1	1.05
2	PHI	14	0	0.76
3	SJS	21	0	1.49
3	PHI	9	0	0.44
4	SJS	3	0	0.15
4	PHI	2	0	0.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1