Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-12-30 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 6 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

SEA: 34.7%

CGY: 65.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.33

CGY: 4.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

SEA

C. Driedger

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	C. Driedger	40	34	6	85.0%	3.06	2	-2.94
CGY	J. Markstrom	22	18	4	81.8%	1.92	1	-2.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs CGY: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	CGY
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	SEA
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	11	1	0.54
1	CGY	19	0	0.95
2	SEA	9	0	0.83
2	CGY	18	1	1.11
3	SEA	9	0	0.55
3	CGY	15	1	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 6 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.3 - 4.5