Montreal Canadiens at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-01-01 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

FLA: 66.7%

MTL: 33.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.75

MTL: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 53%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	31	29	2	93.5%	2.57	2	0.57
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	48	43	5	89.6%	5.17	2	0.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • FLA at home vs MTL: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MTL 4 - 3 FLA	MTL	FLA
2026-01-08	MTL 6 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-12-30	FLA 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-01	MTL 3 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-03-30	FLA 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	17	0	1.53
1	MTL	18	2	1.56
2	FLA	26	1	2.57
2	MTL	6	0	0.48
3	FLA	16	1	1.08
3	MTL	11	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9