Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-01-01 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

Win Probability

NYI: 59.5%

EDM: 40.5%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.89

EDM: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 53%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

EDM

M. Koskinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	19	17	2	89.5%	2.60	1	0.60
EDM	M. Koskinen	29	26	3	89.7%	3.11	0	0.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs EDM: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	EDM 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	EDM
2025-10-16	NYI 4 - 2 EDM	NYI	NYI
2025-03-14	NYI 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	NYI
2024-11-12	EDM 4 - 3 NYI	EDM	EDM
2023-12-19	NYI 3 - 1 EDM	NYI	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	13	0	0.88
1	EDM	10	0	0.59
2	NYI	8	0	0.93
2	EDM	16	1	1.52
3	NYI	18	0	1.11
3	EDM	4	0	0.25
4	NYI	2	0	0.20
4	EDM	2	0	0.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0