St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-01-01 • Target Field

Minnesota Wild 4 - 6 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 53.8%

STL: 46.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.34

STL: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 45%

MIN

C. Talbot

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	32	26	6	81.2%	3.69	2	-2.31
STL	Jordan Binnington	33	29	4	87.9%	2.25	0	-1.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • MIN at home vs STL: 4-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	0	0.74
1	STL	20	0	0.94
2	MIN	11	0	0.20
2	STL	16	0	1.00
3	MIN	22	0	1.31
3	STL	8	2	1.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 6 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9