Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-01-02 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 5 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 67.0%

BOS: 33.0%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.46

BOS: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	37	32	5	86.5%	5.54	5	0.54
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	24	23	1	95.8%	2.18	2	1.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • DET at home vs BOS: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	8	1	0.59
1	BOS	19	2	1.80
2	DET	11	1	0.97
2	BOS	14	1	1.74
3	DET	11	0	0.63
3	BOS	20	2	1.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7