Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-01-02 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

COL: 60.2%

ANA: 39.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.40

ANA: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

COL

D. Kuemper

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	31	29	2	93.5%	2.75	1	0.75
ANA	John Gibson	36	32	4	88.9%	3.11	1	-0.89

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • COL at home vs ANA: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	ANA 1 - 5 COL	COL	ANA
2026-01-21	COL 1 - 2 ANA	ANA	COL
2025-11-11	COL 4 - 1 ANA	COL	COL
2025-04-13	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-20	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	15	0	1.01
1	ANA	15	0	1.09
2	COL	17	0	1.04
2	ANA	15	1	0.97
3	COL	13	1	1.05
3	ANA	9	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8